Archive 3
Trades 100+ · Frozen snapshot
Total Trades
34
Cumulative P&L
+$2,193
Win Rate (Closed)
70%
Best Trade
+$5,800
Total Win Rate
Last 7 Days Win Rate
Monte Carlo
Premium Selling Analysis
1 — Trading Performance Statistics
Actual Statistics — Filtered Trade Pool
| Running simulation… |
About This Analysis
10,000 scenarios are simulated by bootstrap resampling — each simulated trade draws a P&L directly from your actual closed CSP & Bull Put Spread trades (sampling with replacement). No parametric distribution assumed.
Each sampled P&L is applied to 2% of the current account balance. Accounts can reach zero; there is no loss cap.
Use the filter buttons to include/exclude ERROR-tagged trades. The diagnostic bar above the stats shows exactly how many trades are in the active pool and what Mistakes values were found in the CSV.
2 — Monte Carlo Simulation Results (10,000 Scenarios)
Ending Account Value by Percentile
| Scenario | Final Value | Return |
|---|---|---|
| Running… | ||
Probability Metrics
Probability of Profit
—
Probability of Loss
—
Probability of >50% Loss
—
3 — Risk Metrics
Maximum Drawdown
| Median Max Drawdown | — |
| 95th Percentile Max Drawdown | — |
Consecutive Loss Streaks
| Median Max Consecutive Losses | — |
| 95th Percentile Consecutive Losses | — |
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Psychological Preparation
Running simulation…
4 — Visual Analysis
Ending Account Values
10,000 simulations · Green = above starting capital · Red = below
Maximum Drawdowns
Green ≤ median · Amber ≤ 95th percentile · Red = worst cases
Max Consecutive Loss Streaks
Green ≤ median · Amber ≤ 95th percentile · Red = worst cases
Return (%) by Percentile
1st–99th percentile outcomes · Green fill = positive · Red fill = negative